StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet is projecting Duke as a two seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Blue Devils are currently on track for an automatic bid, but don't need it to retain the invite as they're the #5 team in the AP Poll and sit at #4 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have a 23-4 overall record and a 10-2 record in the ACC.
Over the last four games, Duke registered a quality win against AP #8 North Carolina and wins against Boston College, NC State, and Maryland.
Duke is respectable against top competition, with a 12-4 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 6-4 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 5-2 record against AP ranked teams. The Blue Devils boast six quality wins including AP #8 North Carolina, AP #22 Virginia, RPI #29 Colorado State, AP #4 Kansas, and AP #17 Michigan with no bad losses.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are NC State (18-9, 7-5 ACC, StatRank #59), Mississippi State (19-8, 6-6 SEC, StatRank #58), Oregon (19-8, 10-5 Pac 12, StatRank #55), and Washington (19-8, 12-3 Pac 12, StatRank #57).
The first four teams out are Arizona (19-9, 10-5 Pac 12, StatRank #81), Illinois (16-11, 5-9 Big Ten, StatRank #73), LSU (16-10, 6-6 SEC, StatRank #70), and Ole Miss (15-11, 5-7 SEC, StatRank #80).
The next four out are Brigham Young (23-6, 11-3 West Coast, StatRank #50), Colorado (18-8, 10-4 Pac 12, StatRank #73), Minnesota (17-10, 5-9 Big Ten, StatRank #71), and St. Joseph's (PA) (18-10, 8-5 A-10, StatRank #46).
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NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference